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Friday, April 19, 2024

Race-by-race preview and tips for Rosehill on Saturday

Race 5 – 2.50PM JAMES SQUIRE SKY HIGH STAKES (2000m)

3. Lindermann has been matching it with the best WFA horses in the country in his two runs back. He was luckless in the Apollo Stakes first up before he boxed on well behind Think It Over and Fangirl again in the Verry Elleegant Stakes out to the mile. Cascadian ran on into fourth with a gap back to the rest. The four-year-old meets a field of stayers, with the exception of 4. Just Fine, which he beat by nine lengths two weeks ago. That’s the only gamble. Whether Just Fine can bounce back to his best. Otherwise, you’re left scratching your head looking for threats. Lindermann was gelded prior to this campaign and on the evidence of two runs so far, it looks to have improved him. His latest win was over this track and trip 12 months ago in the Rosehill Guineas. The lack of market support for Just Fine first up told the story. He is a hard horse to assess second up.
How to play it: Lindermann to win.

Race 6 – 3.25PM CITY TATTERSALLS GROUP MAURICE MCCARTEN STAKES (1100m)

10. Dashing Legend flies fresh. All she has to do is reproduce what she did first up last campaign to be in the finish here. The four-year-old was having her first run for Joe Pride on that occasion and although it was in BM78 company she lumped 61.5kg, winning with authority. Gets in on the minimum and maps to get the run of the race, jumping on the back of one of her dangers in 4. Red Card. Red Card wasn’t her dynamic best first up when winning over this same trackand trip, but she did enoughto get home. She is two from two now over this track and trip. 1. Airman made giant leaps over the autumn starting his prep with a third to Red Card in benchmark company. Fast forward to the end of the carnival and he is lining up in the VRC Stakes behind Imperatriz.
How to play it: Dashing Legend each way.

Race 7 – 4PM CHANDON PHAR LAP STAKES (1500m)

14. Makarena had to make two runs in the Surround Stakes. After looking to slot in with cover in the early stages, it never came so Tim Clark elected to slide forward to settle outside of the leader. That work told at the finish. That’ll toughen her up for 1500m third up. It’s all still in front of this Snitzel filly being so lightly raced. First up she ran second in the Eskimo Prince Stakes, which ties into the Randwick Guineas form lines here. 2. Les Vampires was attacked in the middle stages in the Randwick Guineas last Saturday. He has all the right form references for this having run third in the Hobartville Stakes prior to that and strikes it fourth up on the back up. He’s a hard fit leader and will prove tough to run down. 6. Kintyre ran on late over 1300m behind Gently Rolled first up. His form all through the spring says he measures up here and he boasts a great second up record (3:2-0-0).
How to play it: Makarena to win.

Race 8 – 4.35PM COOLMORE CLASSIC (1500m)

1. Zougotcha was dominant first up in the Millie Fox Stakes, giving away weight and race fitness to the runner up Lady Laguna. We know what she has done since, causing an upset in the G1 Canterbury Stakes last Saturday taking down Think About It. It reads like the best form reference in this race. Krone won this race with 57kg three years ago and Zougotcha is a better mare than her, with due respect. 4. Vienna Princess also resumed in the Millie Fox and looks set to bounce off that second up out to 1500m. She ran well in the Golden Eagle in the spring over this track and trip. 12. Barbie’s Fox becomes an even better chance if the rain falls. Her runs in Sydney last campaign were excellent and she is going much better than her two finishing positions suggest this time back.
How to play it: Zougotcha to win.

Race 9 – 5.15PM ATC FOUNDATION AJAX STAKES (1500m)

5. Democracy Manifest peaked on his run first up at Randwick behind 3. Phearson. He’ll need to turn the tables on that runner two weeks later but gets the right set up. Democracy Manifest ran the fastest 600-200m split in the race. He just couldn’t sustain it. Keep going back to how impressive this five-year-old was second up last campaign where he put a gap on his rivals in the Cameron Handicap at Newcastle out to 1500m. That saw him start single figure-odds in the Doncaster. Phearson absorbed pressure first up but kept finding. It was an impressive win, flagging that he has potentially returned better. 13. Amor Victorious has also returned in career-best form. The lightly raced four-year-old made it two from two this prep and four from his past five. Last start was his best win yet charging clear having led throughout.
How to play it: Democracy Manifest to win.

Race 10 – 5.55PM ROSEHILL BOWLING CLUB HCP (1400m)

7. Tavi Time is embarrassing his rivals at the moment, as he charges through the grades. He looks the real deal. Not sure where he fits in just yet but trainer Kris Lees is happy to keep picking off the low-hanging fruit for the time being. This is another step up in grade but he should win again, justifying being sent around as a short-priced favourite. 6. Whinchat resented it when Phearson punched up underneath him last start. He is a control freak. His recent record suggests that he needs to lead to win. Simple as that. He has become one dimensional but when he does find the front he is dynamic. The start prior he beat subsequent winner Tashi. Dangerous if left alone and the map suggests he will be. Like what 10. Razors did last campaign, culminating with a second in the Tapp-Craig behind Makarena.
How to play it: Tavi Time to win.

Supplied by Racing NSW
Full form and race replays available at racingnsw.com.au

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