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Wednesday, October 9, 2024

Charting Hurricane Milton’s path as it heads for Florida

Hurricane Milton is expected to make landfall in Florida’s Gulf coast as a Category 4 hurricane on Wednesday bringing devastating winds, life-threatening storm surge and flash floods to communities already battered by Hurricane Helene.

Milton rapidly intensified from a tropical storm to a Category 5 hurricane on Monday with sustained winds surpassing a brutal 180mph, before slowing to Category 4 on Tuesday, the National Hurricane Center announced.

Wind speeds grew approximately 90mph in under 24-hours, making it one of the most rapidly intensifying and strongest Atlantic storms ever recorded.

The hurricane comes less than two weeks after Hurricane Helene slammed into Florida’s Big Bend, killing more than 220 and causing hundreds of billions of dollars worth of damage across the Southeast.

With recovery efforts still ongoing, Floridians are now bracing for the new “extremely powerful” storm which, as of Tuesday morning, is tracking towards the northwest and is situated just North of the Yucatan Peninsula.

Milton is then expected to make landfall in the heavily-populated Tampa Bay area mid-week, before charting a path through Orlando. It is expected to grow in size, but wind speeds are anticipate to fall, according to NHC director Dr Michael Brennan.

Charting Hurricane Milton’s path as it heads for FloridaCharting Hurricane Milton’s path as it heads for Florida

National Hurricane Center’s map charts the expected path of Milton over the coming days into the weekend (NHC)

Milton is expected to make landfall on Wednesday evening after weakening from a Category 5 to Category 4 hurricane (NHC)Milton is expected to make landfall on Wednesday evening after weakening from a Category 5 to Category 4 hurricane (NHC)

Milton is expected to make landfall on Wednesday evening after weakening from a Category 5 to Category 4 hurricane (NHC)

Up to 18 inches of rainfall is expected to be dumped across portions of the Sunshine State’s peninsula and the Florida Keys through to Wednesday evening, with heavy downpours forecast to cause “considerable” and “life-threatening” flash floods, the NHC warned.

Much of Florida’s west coast from the south up to the Big Bend region was under a storm surge watch on Tuesday morning, with peak surge predicted to reach up to 15 feet in Tampa Bay and the Anclote River.

Floridians have been urged to brace for what Kevin Guthrie, director of the Florida Division of Emergency Management, warned could be the largest evacuation since 2017’s Hurricane Irma. “I highly encourage you to evacuate,” Guthrie said.

Tampa mayor Jane Castor told CNN on Mondaysthat if residents choose to “stay in one of those evacuation areas, you’re gonna die”.

Officials in Pinellas County – where 12 died as a result of Hurricane Helene – announced on Sunday that mandatory evacuations are likely to be issued for more than half a million residents in the lowest-lying areas on Monday.

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the Regional and Mesoscale Meteorology Branch shows hurricane Milton churning over the Gulf of Mexico on Monday (NOAA/AFP via Getty Images)National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the Regional and Mesoscale Meteorology Branch shows hurricane Milton churning over the Gulf of Mexico on Monday (NOAA/AFP via Getty Images)

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the Regional and Mesoscale Meteorology Branch shows hurricane Milton churning over the Gulf of Mexico on Monday (NOAA/AFP via Getty Images)

“This is going to be bad. That’s all you need to know,” Pinellas County Sheriff Bob Gualtieri said during an emergency press conference on Sunday afternoon. “Everyone just needs to get out.”

Evacuation measures must be more strictly followed, he warned, telling businesses owners that “we’re going to shut you down” in order to reduce the risk of loss of life.

President Joe Biden approved an emergency declaration on Monday after pledging “life-saving resources in advance of the storm,” the day prior.

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis announced Monday that the state has stocked up on millions of gallons worth of fuel, truckloads of food, water and medical supplies, Starlinks and flood protection systems to protect “critical infrastructure”.

Estimated arrival time of storm force winds from Hurricane Milton (NHC)Estimated arrival time of storm force winds from Hurricane Milton (NHC)

Estimated arrival time of storm force winds from Hurricane Milton (NHC)

Flash flooding risk for parts of Florida with the Sunshine State anticipated to experience up to 18in rain (NHC)Flash flooding risk for parts of Florida with the Sunshine State anticipated to experience up to 18in rain (NHC)

Flash flooding risk for parts of Florida with the Sunshine State anticipated to experience up to 18in rain (NHC)

He said that 4,000 members of the National Guard had been deployed to the state, with all hands on deck to clear debris from Helene in preparation for Milton. He warned that existing wreckage could “increase damage dramatically.”

AccuWeather lead hurricane expert Alex DaSilva warned that debris from Helene could “turn into airborne missiles or be swept away in flooding and storm surge”.

The weather forecasting company’s chief meteorologist Jonathan Porter described Milton as a “once-in-a-lifetime storm for Floridians”.

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