What does Flamengo need to do to advance in the Libertadores? See the scenarios | Flamengo

Flamengo is under pressure in the last two rounds of the Libertadores group stageJavier Torres/AFP

Published 05/09/2024 15:07

Two victories

In the best scenario for the Rio team, two victories in the final rounds, the team would score 10 points. This is the only chance to get first place in the groupwhich can only come if the Palestino does not beat Millionarios and surpasses Bolívar at the altitude of La Paz, in the last round. In this case, Rubro-Negro would be forced to have a goal difference of six against the Bolivians.

If the game between Palestino and Millonarios ends in a draw, the Chileans will have the same 10 points as Flamengo and Bolívar. Therefore, the Rio team would also need to surpass them on goal differencewhere he currently has a lead of three.

To advance in second place with two wins, Flamengo also depends on other games. In addition to doing your part, Rubro-Negro will hope for Bolívar to beat Palestino in the last round, who must lose to Millionarios in the previous game. Thus, the Gávea club would advance with 10 points, without depending on the balance, and the Bolivians would be the leaders with 13. In case of victory against Millonarios and Bolívar, Fla would need to overcome the Bolivians’ goal differenceas the Chileans would finish in the lead.

Elimination in this scenario is unlikely. This will only happen if Palestino beats Millonarios by five goals, surpasses the Cariocas in terms of pro goals and still seeks a draw with Bolívar at the altitude of La Paz.

A win and a draw

In this case, Flamengo would have 8 points and would need to dry Palestino. To advance in second, Rubro-Negro needs to hope that the Chilean team does not win either of its last two matches against Millionarios and Bolívar.

A victory and a defeat

With seven points, Flamengo will work with two scenarios to qualify. In case of victory over Bolívar and defeat against Millionarios, Tite’s team will need to hope that the Colombians don’t beat Palestino, who needs to finish with 7 points and a lower goal difference. This Chilean scenario it will also give the classification to Rubro-Negro if the victory is against Millonarios and the defeat is against Bolívar.

Two draws

If both games are tied, Flamengo will be in a delicate situation, but will still have a remote chance of qualifying. In this case, Palestino would need to lose their last two games. Furthermore, Millonarios’ victory over the Chilean club could not be by three goals difference.