Will there be a ‘comeback’ in CDMX? Brugada’s advantage over Taboada fades – El Financiero

• Clara Brugada, from Morena, PT and Green Party: 42 percent.
• Santiago Taboada, from the PRI, PAN and PRD: 37 percent.
• Salomón Chertorivski, from the Citizen Movement: 6 percent.
• Undecided: 15 percent.

The results of this survey reveal the lowest point of Clara Brugada since the campaigns began and at the same time the highest in Santiago Taboada.

He second chilango debate can help citizens define their voting intention, in addition to a tougher ‘battle’ is possible between him and the candidate for the head of Government, who in the first CDMX debate They exchanged a series of accusations.

Hours left until second debate for CDMX 2024the Survey The financial reveals important data that you should know about voting intentions in Mexico City, which since the figure of the head of Government existed, in 1997, has only allowed governments of the PRD and Morena; However, the PRI and the PAN could come to power in the most important city in the country for the first time through the popular vote.

Brugada vs. Taboada: Key points to understand how preference is going in CDMX

These are four aspects that the surveys and the situation of both reveal. candidates for the head of Government of Mexico City and what you should know:

Santiago Taboada’s ‘comeback’

Last October, when the pre-candidacies were just taking shape, Santiago Taboada had only 33 percent of the preference, while Clara Brugada had 44 percent, that is, 11 points ahead.

November, when both candidates were defined, was the one that stood out the most Brugada, reaching 47 points while Taboada reached 34.

By March, when the campaigns began, Clara Brugada ‘destroyed’ and reached 44 points againwhile Santiago Taboada had a rebound and reached 36 points.

For the second month of the campaign, that is, so far in April, Brugada confirmed his withdrawal and reached 42 points, his lowest record, while Taboada collected one point and reached 37.

If the trend of the first month and a half of campaigns persists, Clara Brugada could lose another two points and it would reach 40 percent, while Taboada would accumulate an additional pointremaining at 38 percent.

The result would be closed; however, In the absence of debates it is possible that the numbers may still move.

Second Chilango debate: The points on which Taboada beats Brugada and vice versa

Surveys also reveal that There are segments in which Santiago Taboada has an advantage about Clara Brugada, although people still have a bad opinion about the former mayor of Benito Juárez:

• Men prefer Santiago Taboada, with 40 percent of the voting intention, while 38 percent support Clara Brugada.
• 46 percent of women prefer Clara Brugadacompared to 33 percent who support Taboada.
• 36 percent of young people between 18 and 29 years old prefer Taboada, compared to 32 percent who support the Morenista.
• 41 percent of adults from 30 to 49 are with the Morena candidate, compared to 38 percent who support the opponent.
• 40 percent of the people aged 50 and older prefer Clara Brugadacompared to 33 percent who support the PRI-PAN-PRD candidate.
• The people that have studies until secondary school prefer Clara Brugada, with 45 percent to 31 percent supporting Taboada.
• 49 percent of people who studied up to high school also have preference over the former mayor of Iztapalapacompared to 29 percent who support the PAN.
• People who have university education make a difference, since 40 percent of them support Taboadacompared to 32 percent of the same sector that supports Clara Brugada.
• The middle classes have a marked preference for Santiago Taboada, with 43 percent support, compared to 38 percent for Brugada.
• In the lower classes the advantage is wider for the Morena candidatesince he has 46 points compared to 31 for the opposition candidate.
• One of Clara Burgada’s key advantages is the positive opinion, because although it has been reduced from 44 to 38 percent, It is still higher than the negative opinion of 36 points.
• The case of Santiago Taboada is also notable. He reduced his negative opinion from 46 to 36 percent, but they are still more those who don’t want itsince only 33 percent of those surveyed have a positive opinion of him.
• Both candidates, beyond making people decide whether or not to vote for themthey have confused them moresince in both cases they have maximum records of neutral opinions, that is, they do not know whether or not to vote for them.

The controversies

The first debate left a series of scandals around the accusations they distributed among themselves, and while Santiago Taboada accused that Clara Brugada’s house cost just over 300 pesos and was acquired illegally, the Morena candidate He recalled his controversy with the ‘Real Estate Cartel’ in Benito Juárez, where PAN officials related to past administrations in the mayor’s office have been arrested.

The candidates arrive at the second Chilango debate while the Mexico City is experiencing a water crisisbecause while the Cutzamala System is at record levels of drought, the Benito Juárez faces reports of contaminated water in supply.

The controversial response of the Morenoist government of the country’s capital has been exploited by Taboada; However, that has also brought problems, since demonstrations have been held in which citizens asks him to ‘not put his spoon in’ to take advantage of the situation.

The undecided

Another of the key points, since of those surveyed, only 48 percent are sure of their votewhile there are still 24 percent who are willing to change their vote and 21 percent who are not interested in participating in the elections.

There would be at least 15 percent of the undefined electoratewhich could define the course of the elections due to the Brugada has such a short advantage over Taboada.

Elections in CDMX: What are the challenges of the three candidates?

Within hours of the second debate in Mexico City, These are some of the challenges they face and the candidate for the head of Government of Mexico City.

Clara Brugada

The former mayor of Iztapalapa did not win the internal polls to be a candidate, in fact, he lost by about 10 points difference with Omar García Harfuch; However, due to gender parity criteria she had to be the candidate, and in recent months she has lost the advantage she had at the beginning of the race.

In addition to voting intention, positive opinion has fallen six pointswhich is an indicator that there is a sector that is beginning to reject it, since negative opinion continues to increase.

Santiago Taboada

Santiago Taboada has the objective of having the PRI and the PAN govern Mexico City for the first time, through the popular vote. This would be a hard blow to the ruling Morena party; However, the task is not yet done by the candidate.

Taboada has been accused of multiple corruption scandals, and in his campaign he has had confrontations with civilians who have shown their rejection; however, He has been able to score points possibly due to his strong speech against the Government of Mexico City and criticizing controversies such as the operation of the Metro or the accidents in the construction work of the Interurban Train.

The opponent has a month and a half to turn around, and although it is not something impossibleyour days are numbered to do so.

Solomon Chertorivsky

The situation with Chertorivski is that, instead of adding points, he has fallen in preferences, going from 10 percent of support in January to 6 percent in April.

There is no segment of the population in which Chertorivski truly competes against Morena and It goes through Mexico, besides that his positive opinion fell from a presumed 48 percent to 39 percent.